Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.516581 1.746351 1.999062 2.297625 2.640767 3.022870 3.480779
2025-05-18 1.139793 1.426242 1.767959 2.205686 2.751761 3.410959 4.267963
2025-05-25 0.871336 1.171183 1.554782 2.081593 2.786854 3.699438 4.972044
2025-06-01 0.718674 1.029081 1.451497 2.068473 2.947624 4.157238 5.952004
2025-06-08 0.594240 0.900542 1.341094 2.021087 3.045755 4.535285 6.871759
2025-06-15 0.538748 0.859506 1.344574 2.131709 3.379492 5.286029 8.431267
2025-06-22 0.479400 0.801699 1.312005 2.178967 3.618610 5.921019 9.898948
2025-06-29 0.418886 0.731687 1.248439 2.164412 3.752183 6.400953 11.177161
2025-07-06 0.353973 0.643936 1.142309 2.061378 3.719621 6.596989 11.996485
2025-07-13 0.328973 0.621726 1.143952 2.143487 4.016032 7.387535 13.955745
2025-07-20 0.310180 0.607725 1.157471 2.247309 4.362887 8.307264 16.268391
2025-07-27 0.285713 0.579289 1.140096 2.289604 4.597628 9.045841 18.330966
2025-08-03 0.260256 0.546393 1.111861 2.310993 4.802824 9.770067 20.499780
2025-08-10 0.228815 0.496890 1.044381 2.244281 4.822146 10.131667 21.987817
2025-08-17 0.197516 0.443100 0.960786 2.131926 4.729967 10.252068 22.983304
2025-08-24 0.179606 0.415775 0.929062 2.126367 4.865948 10.868469 25.141044
2025-08-31 0.160829 0.383781 0.882866 2.082031 4.909200 11.288158 26.915152
2025-09-07 0.155772 0.382789 0.905695 2.198609 5.336301 12.619755 30.985045
2025-09-14 0.146527 0.370467 0.900763 2.248871 5.613583 13.641902 34.459833
2025-09-21 0.134229 0.348883 0.871031 2.234706 5.732239 14.303368 37.141005
2025-09-28 0.118142 0.315434 0.808052 2.128789 5.607100 14.355383 38.289219
2025-10-05 0.113764 0.311789 0.818961 2.213856 5.983334 15.706434 42.999932
2025-10-12 0.110666 0.311123 0.837389 2.321247 6.433066 17.303472 48.591768